Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
As of July 14, 2026, the market gives “Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?” a 55% chance of YES.
| YES odds | 55% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 46% |
| Volume | $747,378 |
| Closes | July 20, 2026 |
Updated July 14, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
France sits atop 2026 World Cup winner odds near +400 following convincing group-stage victories anchored by Kylian Mbappé’s multiple-goal contributions, while Spain holds second at roughly +500 despite a surprising draw against Cape Verde. England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil round out the leading contenders at +700 to +1000, reflecting trader consensus on squad depth, recent form, and star availability such as Lionel Messi’s hat trick and Jude Bellingham’s influence. Early results have tightened probabilities for European sides with favorable group matchups, while CONMEBOL teams benefit from proven knockout pedigree. Upcoming group fixtures, rest advantages, and potential bracket positioning will shape paths to the final as the expanded 48-team field advances.