Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?
As of July 14, 2026, the market gives “Will England be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?” a 66% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 35% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 66% |
| Volume | $64,585 |
| Closes | July 19, 2026 |
Updated July 14, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
England enters the 2026 World Cup with a deep, experienced squad featuring Harry Kane, Jude Bellingham, Declan Rice, and Bukayo Saka under Thomas Tuchel, bolstered by strong qualifying results and recent form. Traders price Other at 50% and later knockout stages highest because the Three Lions are widely viewed as genuine contenders capable of reaching the quarterfinals or beyond, with only Spain and France rated ahead in most models. Early exits in the round of 32 or 16 carry meaningful probability due to the expanded 48-team format, a potentially difficult bracket, and England’s history of faltering against elite opposition in knockout rounds. The imminent group-stage opener against Croatia and upcoming fixtures will further shape these implied probabilities as the tournament progresses.