Will 6+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
As of July 14, 2026, the market gives “Will 6+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?” a 84% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 17% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 84% |
| Volume | $41,236 |
| Closes | July 20, 2026 |
Updated July 14, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
The 2026 FIFA World Cup features 48 teams and 104 total matches, including a record 31 or 32 knockout-stage fixtures that begin with the round of 32 on June 28. Only these single-elimination games can reach extra time and then penalty shootouts if still level after 120 minutes, unlike group-stage draws that award one point each. Historical data shows 35 shootouts across prior tournaments, with a record five in 2022, though the expanded bracket and round-of-32 addition create more opportunities than the typical 15 knockout games of 32-team editions. Early group-stage results through mid-June have featured several low-scoring or drawn matches, while summer heat and humidity across North American venues could further encourage cautious play and extra-time scenarios in later rounds.