Databricks IPO before 2027?
As of July 14, 2026, the market gives “Databricks IPO before 2027?” a 90% chance of NO.
| YES odds | 10% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 90% |
| Volume | $483,219 |
| Closes | December 31, 2026 |
Updated July 14, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
SpaceX leads trader expectations for an IPO before 2027 at near-certain odds, fueled by confirmed bank interviews and Elon Musk’s acknowledgment of 2026 plans, while Anthropic’s targeted October or Q4 timeline and OpenAI’s confidential filing support 79% and 52% probabilities respectively. AI sector momentum, with companies valued at $850B–$1T seeking capital for compute and expansion, aligns with broader 2026 IPO recovery signals including stabilizing rates and renewed growth appetite. Databricks has signaled a possible push into 2027 amid market volatility, and Stripe remains cautious despite profitability. Key near-term catalysts include any S-1 filings, secondary liquidity updates, or macroeconomic shifts that could accelerate or delay listings for these high-profile names.