Anthropic IPO before 2027?
As of September 4, 2026, the market gives “Anthropic IPO before 2027?” a 96% chance of YES.
| YES odds | 96% |
|---|---|
| NO odds | 5% |
| Volume | $510,783 |
| Closes | January 1, 2027 |
Updated September 4, 2026 · Live data from Polymarket
About this market
Strong equity market conditions and a surge in successful mega-deals have reopened the IPO window in 2026, with U.S. issuers raising over $145 billion across more than 100 deals through early September—more than five times full-year 2025 totals. SpaceX’s landmark listing anchored sentiment, while AI-related names have driven selective appetite for high-growth issuers. Recent filings, including Oura’s September 3 submission targeting a late-month Nasdaq debut and Anthropic’s June confidential filing with an October window eyed, signal continued activity before year-end. Some larger candidates like Databricks have deferred to 2027 citing crowded calendars and private capital availability, but smaller profitable or near-profitable deals continue to price. Key near-term catalysts include Federal Reserve policy signals, equity volatility levels, and execution of pending AI and tech offerings that could either sustain or narrow the current window.